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The slurs, he said, impacted dozens of voters standing near the entrance of polling sites at Charles W. Morey Elementary School in Ward 4 of the city and at Lowell High School in Ward 2.

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The possibility of selection bias should always be considered when defining a study sample. Furthermore, when responses are incomplete, the scope for bias must be assessed. The problems of incomplete response to surveys are considered further in. Information bias. The other major class of bias arises from errors in measuring exposure or disease.

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Jim Lee of Susquehanna Polling and Research has been another proponent of the “submerged” Trump voter theory. A recent Susquehanna survey of Wisconsin found Trump and Biden tied, making it the only poll to not show Biden in the lead in the Badger State since August, when the Trafalgar Group found Trump ahead by 1 point.

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Oct 21, 2020 · Regarding the polls, which have been favoring Biden almost unanimously, the Trafalgar Group this week predicted a Trump victory on Election Night due to the "hidden Trump vote," pollster Robert ...

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Trafalgar intentionally skews their results for Trump. They add in a "social desirability" bias adding to Trump's total. There's also concern that their polling isn't even legitimate. If you are a partisan pollster intentionally putting out favorable results for your side, you're going to be right on occasion.

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Oct 15, 2020 · What's also interesting about Trafalgar is that they're always biased toward Trump by about the same amount, unlike Quinnipiac where they do have a handful of polls that are better than the average for Trump.

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Oct 09, 2020 · Trafalgar is the outlier here, about 6 points to the right of everyone else. Remember, Trafalgar takes a percentage of "will vote for Biden" responses and moves them into the Trump column because they believe in the unproven "shy Trump voter" theory. They also don't disclose what the percentage of poll fudging they use or crosstabs.

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Nov 03, 2020 · The Trafalgar Group was the only outfit that called the Keystone State for Trump in 2016, and its most recent poll gave Trump just under a one-point edge heading into the last week of the campaign ...

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Nov 02, 2020 · I’ve read a fair bit about Cahaly and Trafalgar Group. A few things: 1. If the polls at large miss this one, it will be the biggest polling miss since Dewey Beats Truman in 1948. A much bigger miss than 2016. 2. Cahaly’s “social desirability bias” theory has no proven basis in scientific fact.

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Sep 03, 2020 · — Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) September 2, 2020 Donald Trump is depicted as a snarling, shouting maniac while Joe Biden looks like he should be on a bottle of salad dressing, complete ...

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Nov 05, 2020 · In 2016, Cahaly’s, Trafalgar Group polling company, correctly predicted a Republican win Credit: ... “Bias makes people stupid. And if you don’t acknowledge to yourself, an own your biases ...
Oct 17, 2020 · The Trafalgar Group was the most accurate pollster in 2016, and also called a few unexpected results in the 2018 midterms. Thankfully for Republicans, their numbers are very reminiscent of 2016. Many “mainstream” polls have Trump trailing Biden by a significant margin in nearly all of the battleground states, including Florida and Arizona.
Aug 28, 2020 · The Republican pollster Trafalgar Group just released its first downballot pollof the 2020 general election, and if you're wondering why it's the first poll since the start of the pandemic—and just...
By the way, the pollster is Jim Lee of Susquehanna Polling and Research. “Trafalgar Group’s Robert Cahaly is an outlier among pollsters in that he thinks President Trump will carry Michigan, Pennsylvania, or both, and hence be reelected with roughly 280 electoral votes.” That’s Cahaly. And we’ve been through that breakdown.
Cahaly, who is chief pollster at the Trafalgar Group polling firm, says pollsters should take the phenomenon into account in their 2020 surveys. To counteract the effect, Cahaly suggests using a range of survey research methods, including polling by text, contacting potential respondents at different times of the day and canvassing registered ...

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While other polls conducted in November 2016 showed Clinton ahead by about five percentage points, the Trafalgar Group showed Trump leading by two points. On Election Day, Trump won Michigan by 0 ...Election Projection harvests polls relating to U.S. politics and elections from all over the web daily. With this handy resource, especially during the current election season, you can stay in touch with day-to-day movement in all the national races you care about.